USD/JPY rose to best levels after US ADP employment report beat estimates. Jobs rose by 143K in September compared to 120K expected.

USD/JPY broke 145 on the report and is now up 162 pips to 145.18.

Market now sees 65% chance of 25 bps Fed cut in November down from 50/50 a week ago. In Japan, new Prime Minister not as hawkish as feared and election coming soon.

USDJPY daily

Broader market less concerned about recession and positive about global growth after US and Chinese easing.

Pair pressured after Iran launched missiles at Israel but tension easing today.

Dollar strengthened after data, partly due to ADP not being reliable for non-farm payrolls forecast. EUR/USD down 10 pips to 1.1057. Commodity currencies and pound unaffected.

Next focus on Fed speakers including Hammack, Musalem, Bowman, and Barkin.