Fed's Kashkari

Fed’s Kashkari

Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari spoke in Buenos Aires and highlighted the following:

  • The economy is nearing 2% inflation.
  • It’s unclear how tight current monetary policy is.
  • The job market continues to be robust.
  • Recent job data shows the labor market isn’t weakening quickly.
  • Modest rate cuts seem appropriate moving forward.
  • Monetary policy will depend on data and economic performance.

The Fed recently cut rates by 50 basis points to better align with declining inflation. Despite stronger-than-expected employment data and slightly higher CPI (though PPI was contained), some Fed officials, including Kashkari, believe there’s still a buffer between inflation and the current Fed funds rate.

The futures market indicates an 84% chance of a 25 basis point cut in November, and a 16% chance of no change in policy.