UBS has updated its GDP growth estimates for China for 2024 and 2025 due to stronger-than-expected growth in the third quarter and new government support measures.
Updated forecasts:
- 4Q GDP growth: 6.5% quarter-over-quarter
- 4Q GDP growth: 4.6% year-over-year
- 2024 full-year GDP growth: raised to 4.8% (up from 4.6%)
- 2025 GDP growth forecast: raised to 4.5% (up from 4.0%)