UBS has updated its GDP growth estimates for China for 2024 and 2025 due to stronger-than-expected growth in the third quarter and new government support measures.

Updated forecasts:

  • 4Q GDP growth: 6.5% quarter-over-quarter
  • 4Q GDP growth: 4.6% year-over-year
  • 2024 full-year GDP growth: raised to 4.8% (up from 4.6%)
  • 2025 GDP growth forecast: raised to 4.5% (up from 4.0%)
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