UBS has increased its GDP growth forecasts for China for 2024 and 2025 due to stronger-than-expected growth in the third quarter and new government support measures.
New forecasts include:
- Q4 GDP growth expected to rise to 6.5% quarter-on-quarter
- Q4 GDP growth expected to stay at 4.6% year-on-year
- 2024 full-year GDP growth forecast raised to 4.8% (previously 4.6%)
- 2025 GDP growth forecast increased to 4.5% (previously 4.0%)