UBS has increased its GDP growth predictions for China in 2024 and 2025 due to stronger-than-expected growth in Q3 and recent government support.

Updated forecasts:

  • Q4 GDP growth forecast: 6.5% quarter-on-quarter
  • Q4 GDP growth forecast: 4.6% year-on-year
  • 2024 full-year GDP growth raised to 4.8% (previously 4.6%)
  • 2025 GDP growth forecast raised to 4.5% (previously 4.0%)
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