Goldman Sachs note on the US port strike:
- Estimate that a 10-day full shutdown of East Coast and Gulf Coast ports would result in a 0.2pp hit to quarterly annualized GDP growth in Q4
- Most transportation-industry strikes since 2000 have lasted less than 2 weeks. For it to impact October payrolls, the strike would need to last through October 12th, directly weighing on payroll growth by 45k if it goes through the reference period
Earlier: