Goldman Sachs note on the US port strike:

  • Estimate that a 10-day full shutdown of East Coast and Gulf Coast ports would result in a 0.2pp hit to quarterly annualized GDP growth in Q4
  • Most transportation-industry strikes since 2000 have lasted less than 2 weeks. For it to impact October payrolls, the strike would need to last through October 12th, directly weighing on payroll growth by 45k if it goes through the reference period
Goldman Sachs port strike 02 October 2024 2

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